Wednesday, May 14, 2008

Ryun Crushes Jenkins in New District Poll

As released today in the DC-based newspaper Roll Call (which you must have a subscription to access), Jim Ryun has a shocking 44 point advantage over Lynn Jenkins in the run up to their August primary.

Ryun’s internal poll found that he led Jenkins 65 percent to 21 percent, showing a net gain for the former Congressman since he polled at this time last year. Last May, Ryun’s internal polling had him out in front of Jenkins by a margin of 61 percent to 27 percent.

Ryun’s poll, conducted by Republican pollster Neil Newhouse of Public Opinion Strategies on April 27 and 28, surveyed 350 likely GOP voters, and had a margin of error of 5.66 points.

And, in what we think is simply classic:

The Jenkins campaign declined to comment.

Of course they did! What could they have said? "Nuh-uh!"

So, now it looks like you just have to decided who's internal polling you agree with more: the Ryun polling that shows Jenkins down by 44, or the Jenkins polling that shows her down by 16. Either way, looks like Jenkins is fairly desperate waters.

6 comments:

Anonymous said...

Are these the same pollsters that had Jim Ryun for most of his last campaign believing he was ahead?

Anonymous said...

who knows? does anyone know who his team was in previous cycles?

i would be shocked if the new management of the campaign let him keep his old consultants

Anonymous said...

Remind me again how this race turned out ... http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_qn4179/is_20061028/ai_n16813202

Anonymous said...

Sorry THIS link.

Anonymous said...

No, I think he had Chris Wilson last time.
This go around he has Neil Newhouse, who is Senator Robert's pollster as well.

Anonymous said...

i'm just surprised jenkins is doing so poorly.

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