Thursday, May 8, 2008

KS-02 Rankings & Ratings: Boyda in a Close Race Pundits Say She's Likely to Win

Something is certain in the Kansas 2nd, regardless of how much faith you put in DC talking heads: The race for the seat currently held by Congresswoman Nancy Boyda is going to be hard fought- and, quite possibly, the hottest congressional race in the country.

We say that, but we thought it would be nice to back it up with some context for you. We love context...and links...links are awesome in blogs.

So, today, we thought we'd give you a quick rundown of how those pundits perceive the KS-02 right now, and then tell you why that makes sure that much more optimisic as we get closer and closer to election day (180 days...).

Those of us who support Boyda will point you to the four raters who say the seat leans in her direction, while we're sure those of you who hate her with a burning evil passion will point to the three who say the seat is just too close to call at this point. You needn't scream, we can see it, too.

That's fine, of course, but it certainly doesn't point to anything even approaching a likely lose. No, if anyone thought that was going to be the case, they'd classify this seat as a "Leans Republican" or even a "Likely Republican." But no one does- ever- and they haven't in the nearly year and a half Boyda has been in office.

That in itself is an amazing turn of events- in just two years this seat went from "Solid Republican" to "Leans Democratic." Thanks in large part to the ineptness of the Kansas Republican Party leadership, of course, and to a gentleman named Jim Ryun. Oh, and of course to our current Congresswoman's ability to connect with her district in away they haven't felt since Jim Slattery represented them in the Eighties.

So, take it or leave it that's where the national pundits put this race as of today. Our guess it will only look better and better for Boyda as the Republican primary takes to the TVs districtwide.

But when 26% of Republicans say they'd rather vote Boyda than one of her Republican counterparts, you know things are getting better in Kansas.

12 comments:

Anonymous said...

Jenkins wins primary, Jenkins wins general. Ryun wins primary, Boyda wins general. It's that simple. Most DC types think Ryun will likely win the primary, thus "leans Dem".

Anonymous said...

Jenkins is looking at getting crushed in the primary. Word is that she and her camp were hoping the push poll from a few weeks ago would show the race in a dead heat and the 16% margin for Ryun surprised them. I would doubt that she's getting out of the race, though.

BTW, great talking point for Boyda's camp. Nancy Boyda=Jim Slattery.

Anonymous said...

jenkins is a push over regardless of who she's running against. Boyda's going to keep this seat (however awful that might be...)

Anonymous said...

for the most part, the talking heads recognize Boyda's a good fit for her district...people like Jim Ryun stick out like sore thumbs in districts carried by people like Kathleen Sebelius

Anonymous said...

yeah .... and if you believe polls or political pundits earlier ... John McCain was never going to be the Republican nominee .... and Obama had no chance against Hillary

Anonymous said...

and in 2006 no one thought boyda had a chance in hell.

that's all true...but what on earth has happened nationally or locally that would say a republican is going to win the seat back? while boyda hasn't been great, and while partisan republicans don't like her, they never did....the average voters only knows she's home a lot and has been in their senior center 15 times since she was sworn in. that's enough to keep her in office.

Anonymous said...

Thats great considering 90% of seniors never go to a senior center..... great place to reach them

Anonymous said...

Thats great considering 90% of seniors never go to a senior center..... great place to reach them

wow, stupid, you know that person was talking about Congress on Your Corner, which has, indeed, been in senior centers, and not actually outreach to seniors, right?

no, obviously not.

Anonymous said...

wow .... someone's panties are in a bit of a bind

Anonymous said...

stupid people are annoying

Anonymous said...

Yes, you are definately annoying

Anonymous said...

ok, children, back yourselves up off the blog.

mommy & daddy shouldn't let you comment anyway.

This blog is not affiliated in any way with the Kansas Democratic Party, the Democratic National Committee, Congresswoman Nancy Boyda, the Office of Congresswoman Nancy Boyda, or the campaign to re-elected Congresswoman Nancy Boyda. All commentary herein not directly attributed must be considered the opinion of the authors of this blog and not of any other individual, including Congresswoman Nancy Boyda.